Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.020836 0.024266 0.028050 0.032530 0.037685 0.043425 0.050298
2025-11-09 0.015328 0.019668 0.024902 0.031661 0.040141 0.050406 0.063756
2025-11-16 0.012006 0.016763 0.022960 0.031586 0.043235 0.058369 0.079465
2025-11-23 0.009414 0.014178 0.020829 0.030720 0.044973 0.064670 0.093831
2025-11-30 0.008147 0.013119 0.020492 0.032111 0.049823 0.075634 0.115873
2025-12-07 0.006849 0.011733 0.019391 0.032120 0.052545 0.083780 0.134800
2025-12-14 0.005625 0.010215 0.017801 0.031051 0.053350 0.089006 0.149799
2025-12-21 0.004790 0.009182 0.016800 0.030725 0.055205 0.095963 0.168206
2025-12-28 0.004417 0.008888 0.016986 0.032403 0.060574 0.109187 0.198353
2026-01-04 0.003990 0.008413 0.016765 0.033295 0.064632 0.120576 0.226560
2026-01-11 0.003408 0.007530 0.015645 0.032339 0.065164 0.125764 0.244287
2026-01-18 0.002991 0.006909 0.014928 0.032037 0.066845 0.133144 0.266708
2026-01-25 0.002558 0.006186 0.013918 0.031041 0.067116 0.138050 0.285313
2026-02-01 0.002211 0.005590 0.013079 0.030274 0.067741 0.143699 0.306000
2026-02-08 0.001970 0.005195 0.012614 0.030235 0.069860 0.152525 0.333958
2026-02-15 0.001709 0.004704 0.011852 0.029421 0.070194 0.157709 0.354981
2026-02-22 0.001616 0.004618 0.012021 0.030765 0.075477 0.173847 0.400767
2026-03-01 0.001456 0.004327 0.011652 0.030778 0.077713 0.183635 0.433842
2026-03-08 0.001264 0.003911 0.010905 0.029753 0.077372 0.187667 0.454583
2026-03-15 0.001130 0.003633 0.010467 0.029442 0.078704 0.195611 0.484979
2026-03-22 0.001092 0.003628 0.010754 0.031054 0.085003 0.215729 0.545603
2026-03-29 0.001025 0.003526 0.010758 0.031911 0.089485 0.231984 0.598686
2026-04-05 0.000902 0.003221 0.010146 0.030992 0.089230 0.236733 0.624484